The season is upon us, but, other than camp news, and pre-season games, not much to discuss. This is a two part series about our teams’ Dreaming big or a Reality check. After the much acclaimed part one, Dolphins and Jets, this week we focus on the two top teams, Patriots and Bills.

New England Patriots
(over/under 10.5 at most sites)

From The Athletic

The SB runner up Patriots, after an incredible 2025, added more weapons, one named AJ Brown. Drake Maye has another yer under his belt, one that gave him tons of playoff experience, and suddenly he’s a veteran. Harold Landry, who led the team with 8 1/2 sacks, has a concerning knee injury, and K’Lavon Chaisson, second in sacks, is now with the Commanders. Offseason additions Dre’Mont Jones and Gabe Jacas, are key to to replace them. These are facts, now for the real truth:
I mean, we had to endure Tom Brady for basically the entire century, now this freak Maye comes along, no! Patriots overachieved in a big way in 2025, and much of that credit has to go to newsmonger Mike Vrabel, I guess it remains to be seen if he can continue to improve a young but experienced team.
- Offense……….Maye made some real good plays last season, and some, you could say were very lucky completions. This year he has more talent at WR, Brown and Doubs were added, and so far everyone else has remained. I feel that this group will continue to improve, but not at the rate of success we saw a year ago. The league will take them serious every game, and yes, sorry, the schedule appears to be a bit harder, considering they finished atop the division.
- Defense……This group may be the biggest difference form last year, as much as the O improved on paper, the D has not at all. Yes, if the additions really pan out, then I will look less like the “expert” that I am. I’m not confident in that at all.
Dreaming big!!!!……Hell with last year’s easy schedule! This team will beat the Steelers,Jags, Raiders, Jets and Dolphins twice, Bills once, Bears, Detroit, Vikings and Broncos, and bam!!!! 12-5
Reality Check……I hope I make sense on my thoughts on Pats 2026. I think this team improves (like I wrote above), but it will not show in standings. Schedule is harder, yes, but, let’s face it, last year they won a few games that maybe they could have lost. The O takes a step forward, but the D takes two backwards, and the real result is more like 10-7
Buffalo Bills
(over/under 11.5 at most sites)

From The Athletic

Sean McDermott was fired, after building the current franchise. McDermott came as a defensive minded HC, however his defenses were crappy at best in playoff games, allowing 33, 32, 27, 27, 42 and 38 points in Buffalo’s past six postseason losses. It cost him his job, and hired was OC, Brady. The O was neve an issue, and Brady keeps that intact. Under the radar, OL coach Aaron Kromer retired. He was considered one of the best in the business, this will hurt. Those are facts, or close to it, now for the ream truth:
Bills are the last AFCE team not named Patriots to play in the last 4 SBs (coughing as I’m writing this). McD did a great job building this team to become one of the best in AFC, but he just didn’t feel like the HC that could take them to the next level. Josh is in his prime, and every year that goes by is one year closer to the window closing, can this be the year?
- Offense…..Josh Allen is still at QB, therefore this team will score and be very competitive. If the OL under new coach can improve, run game should be ok. Adding DJ Moore was big, as he is a very good WR that has so far played with crappy QBs. My only concern for this unit is simple, Brady has been somewhat conservative especially for the first 3 quarters of games, can he change that now that he calls the shots?
- Defense…..Under McD this unit ranked 30th in stopping the run, does the addition of DC Jim Leonhard, and his 3-4 scheme (ex Rex Ryan player), and the addition of edge rusher Bradley Chubb change all that? It better
Dreaming big!!!!……Bills finished second in the division last year, and that was a shocking. This team under new HC will beat Jets-Fins twice, Pats once, destroy the Texans, Chargers and Lions. Also add wins against Raiders, Ravens, Vikings, Chiefs, Packers, Bears, and Bam!!! 14-3
Reality Check……If I were to take a poll of Bills fans, that 14-3 would easily be the pick by most, but lets slow down little, games are plays on the field. Yes they can sweep Jets and Fins and win one vs. the Patriots, but some of the other games can be tough. I also feel that Brady will be too conservative and inexperienced to win some of the games that McD would have won. I see a more realistic 11-6 or possibly 12-5….However, if HC underperforms, I can see a 10-7 or even a 9-8